How it finished
Atalanta beat Venezia 3–1. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Atalanta had 22 shots (11 on target) to Venezia's 19 (4), with 36% of the ball against 64%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 2.6, so Venezia created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atalanta vs Venezia?
Atalanta beat Venezia 3–1. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Atalanta had 22 shots (11 on target) to Venezia's 19 (4), with 36% of the ball against 64%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 2.6, so Venezia created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Atalanta vs Venezia?
Atalanta 3–1 Venezia, played on 12 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atalanta 61%, the draw 22% and Venezia 18%.
What were the stats in Atalanta vs Venezia?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–2.6, Shots 22–19, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 16–10, Big chances 6–5, Corners 8–7, Saves 3–7, Fouls 14–6, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 0–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Atalanta vs Venezia?
Yes — both Atalanta and Venezia scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atalanta vs Venezia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atalanta to win 61%, it finished Atalanta won (61% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.