Athletic Club vs Alavés prediction — LaLiga · Sat 19 Sept · 15:15 UK

LaLiga · Sat 19 Sept · 15:15 UK
Athletic Club 46Draw 27Alavés 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
Athletic Club or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
65%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

Athletic Club and Alavés drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Athletic Club had 24 shots (6 on target) to Alavés' 2 (0).

Athletic ClubFull-time statsAlavés
24Shots2
6Shots on target0
5Corners1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAthletic Club or draw 73%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.70
Both teams to score53%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Athletic ClubAlavés
1.5
Goals+0.4
1.1
12.3
Shots+0.7
13.0
3.2
On target+3.3
6.4
5.9
Corners+0.3
5.7
Athletic ClubAlavés
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.3
5.9
Shots+0.2
5.7
1.4
On target+1.6
3.1
2.8
Corners+0.1
2.7
Athletic ClubAlavés
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.8
6.3
Shots+0.9
7.2
1.7
On target+1.6
3.4
3.1
Corners+0.1
3.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Athletic Club to score78%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Alavés to score68%

First half — what we expected

Athletic Club
46%
to score before half-time
Alavés
35%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%

Athletic ClubAlavés
5.91st-half shots5.7
1.41st-half shots on target3.1
2.81st-half corners2.7

First-half chances

64%Chance of 5+ shots62%
38%Chance of 7+ shots36%
40%Chance of 2+ shots on target77%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target37%
71%Chance of 2+ corners69%
31%Chance of 4+ corners29%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Athletic Club5.96.3
Shots · Alavés5.77.2
Shots on target · Athletic Club1.41.7
Shots on target · Alavés3.13.4
Corners · Athletic Club2.83.1
Corners · Alavés2.73.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Alavés in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Athletic Club vs Alavés?

Athletic Club and Alavés drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Athletic Club had 24 shots (6 on target) to Alavés' 2 (0).

What was the final score in Athletic Club vs Alavés?

Athletic Club 0–0 Alavés, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Athletic Club 46%, the draw 27% and Alavés 27%.

What were the stats in Athletic Club vs Alavés?

Full-time: Shots 24–2, Shots on target 6–0, Corners 5–1.

Did both teams score in Athletic Club vs Alavés?

No. It finished 0–0, so Athletic Club failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Athletic Club vs Alavés right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Athletic Club or draw 73%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Athletic Club form →Alavés form →