How it finished
Austin FC and San Diego FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured San Diego FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Austin FC had 13 shots (6 on target) to San Diego FC's 15 (4), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Austin FC and San Diego FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured San Diego FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Austin FC had 13 shots (6 on target) to San Diego FC's 15 (4), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Austin FC 3–3 San Diego FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austin FC 32%, the draw 25% and San Diego FC 42%.
What were the stats in Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.9, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 4–1, Corners 4–1, Saves 2–3, Fouls 12–6, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Yes — both Austin FC and San Diego FC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Austin FC vs San Diego FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said San Diego FC or draw 68%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.