AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 29 Aug · 17:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 29 Aug · 17:45 UK
AZ Alkmaar 66Draw 19Go Ahead Eagles 15
Our call before kickoff
66%
AZ Alkmaar to win
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

AZ Alkmaar beat Go Ahead Eagles 5–2. Bawler's model had AZ Alkmaar in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 7. AZ Alkmaar had 20 shots (8 on target) to Go Ahead Eagles' 10 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 1.8.

AZ AlkmaarFull-time statsGo Ahead…
52%Possession48%
2.4Expected goals (xG)1.8
20Shots10
8Shots on target4
13Shots inside box7
3Big chances3
8Corners4
2Saves3
9Fouls6
1Offsides1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAZ Alkmaar to win 66%AZ Alkmaar won (66% called)
Total goals3.47
Both teams to score59%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AZ AlkmaarGo Ahead Eagles
2.3
Goals+1.3
1.0
27.8
Shots+18.6
9.2
9.5
On target+6.0
3.5
8.4
Corners+4.4
4.0
AZ AlkmaarGo Ahead Eagles
0.7
Goals+0.4
0.3
12.3
Shots+8.4
4.0
4.2
On target+2.7
1.4
3.9
Corners+2.1
1.9
AZ AlkmaarGo Ahead Eagles
1.6
Goals+0.8
0.8
15.5
Shots+10.2
5.3
5.3
On target+3.2
2.1
4.4
Corners+2.3
2.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
AZ Alkmaar to score90%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Go Ahead Eagles to score65%

First half — what we expected

AZ Alkmaar
72%
to score before half-time
Go Ahead Eagles
27%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

AZ AlkmaarGo Ahead Eagles
12.31st-half shots4.0
4.21st-half shots on target1.4
3.91st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

64%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
45%Chance of 13+ shots<10%
75%Chance of 3+ shots on target19%
40%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
70%Chance of 3+ corners29%
36%Chance of 5+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · AZ Alkmaar12.315.5
Shots · Go Ahead Eagles4.05.3
Shots on target · AZ Alkmaar4.25.3
Shots on target · Go Ahead Eagles1.42.1
Corners · AZ Alkmaar3.94.4
Corners · Go Ahead Eagles1.92.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AZ Alkmaar 1 · Draws 4 · Go Ahead Eagles 0
Go Ahead Eagles in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ Alkmaar
Dec 2025AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles
May 2025Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar
Apr 2025AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles
Oct 2024AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

AZ Alkmaar beat Go Ahead Eagles 5–2. Bawler's model had AZ Alkmaar in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 7. AZ Alkmaar had 20 shots (8 on target) to Go Ahead Eagles' 10 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 1.8.

What was the final score in AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

AZ Alkmaar 5–2 Go Ahead Eagles, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with AZ Alkmaar 66%, the draw 19% and Go Ahead Eagles 15%.

What were the stats in AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–1.8, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 3–3, Corners 8–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 9–6, Offsides 1–1.

Did both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Yes — both AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles scored, finishing 5–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AZ Alkmaar to win 66%, it finished AZ Alkmaar won (66% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →AZ Alkmaar form →Go Ahead Eagles form →