How it finished
AZ Alkmaar beat Telstar 1–0. Bawler's model had AZ Alkmaar in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. AZ Alkmaar had 17 shots (8 on target) to Telstar's 4 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
AZ Alkmaar beat Telstar 1–0. Bawler's model had AZ Alkmaar in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. AZ Alkmaar had 17 shots (8 on target) to Telstar's 4 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.3.
What was the final score in AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with AZ Alkmaar 65%, the draw 19% and Telstar 15%.
What were the stats in AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.3, Shots 17–4, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 5–0, Corners 5–2, Saves 1–7, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
No. It finished 1–0, so Telstar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AZ Alkmaar to win 65%, it finished AZ Alkmaar won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No.