How it finished
Barcelona beat Rayo Vallecano 5–2. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 7. Barcelona had 26 shots (9 on target) to Rayo Vallecano's 11 (5), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Barcelona beat Rayo Vallecano 5–2. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 7. Barcelona had 26 shots (9 on target) to Rayo Vallecano's 11 (5), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Barcelona 65%, the draw 20% and Rayo Vallecano 15%.
What were the stats in Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.1, Shots 26–11, Shots on target 9–5, Shots inside box 17–7, Big chances 4–0, Corners 9–5, Saves 3–5, Fouls 4–11, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Yes — both Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano scored, finishing 5–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barcelona to win 65%, it finished Barcelona won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes.