How it finished
Bayer Leverkusen beat RB Leipzig 2–0. Bawler's model had Bayer Leverkusen in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Bayer Leverkusen had 18 shots (6 on target) to RB Leipzig's 12 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Bayer Leverkusen beat RB Leipzig 2–0. Bawler's model had Bayer Leverkusen in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Bayer Leverkusen had 18 shots (6 on target) to RB Leipzig's 12 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bayer Leverkusen 50%, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 27%.
What were the stats in Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.9, Shots 18–12, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 14–7, Big chances 5–1, Corners 9–6, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
No. It finished 2–0, so RB Leipzig failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayer Leverkusen or draw 73%, it finished Bayer Leverkusen won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed.