Bayern Munich beat 1. FC Union Berlin 7–0. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals; the match produced 7. Bayern Munich had 23 shots (15 on target) to 1. FC Union Berlin's 3 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.8 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Bayern Munich beat 1. FC Union Berlin 7–0. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals; the match produced 7. Bayern Munich had 23 shots (15 on target) to 1. FC Union Berlin's 3 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.8 to 0.3.
Bayern Munich 7–0 1. FC Union Berlin, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bayern Munich 80%, the draw 13% and 1. FC Union Berlin 8%.
Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 3.8–0.3, Shots 23–3, Shots on target 15–2, Shots inside box 14–2, Big chances 6–1, Corners 9–2, Saves 2–6, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–3.
No. It finished 7–0, so 1. FC Union Berlin failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayern Munich to win 80%, it finished Bayern Munich won (80% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.