Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction — Bundesliga · Fri 18 Sept · 19:30 UK

Bundesliga · Fri 18 Sept · 19:30 UK
Bayern Munich 80Draw 131. FC Union Berlin 8
Our call before kickoff
80%
Bayern Munich to win
Landed
4.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 7–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
81%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
77%

How it finished

Bayern Munich beat 1. FC Union Berlin 7–0. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals; the match produced 7. Bayern Munich had 23 shots (15 on target) to 1. FC Union Berlin's 3 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.8 to 0.3.

Bayern MunichFull-time stats1. Union…
68%Possession32%
3.8Expected goals (xG)0.3
23Shots3
15Shots on target2
14Shots inside box2
6Big chances1
9Corners2
2Saves6
12Fouls9
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBayern Munich to win 80%Bayern Munich won (80% called)
Total goals4.07
Both teams to score58%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Bayern Munich1. FC Union Berlin
3.1
Goals+2.2
0.9
21.9
Shots+12.5
9.5
8.3
On target+5.3
3.0
7.5
Corners+3.7
3.8
Bayern Munich1. FC Union Berlin
0.8
Goals+0.5
0.2
10.4
Shots+6.2
4.2
3.9
On target+2.7
1.2
3.5
Corners+1.7
1.8
Bayern Munich1. FC Union Berlin
2.4
Goals+1.7
0.7
11.5
Shots+6.2
5.3
4.4
On target+2.6
1.8
4.0
Corners+2.0
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals91%
Bayern Munich to score 2+82%
Over 2.5 goals77%
1. FC Union Berlin to score60%

First half — what we expected

Bayern Munich
76%
to score before half-time
1. FC Union Berlin
23%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%

Bayern Munich1. FC Union Berlin
10.41st-half shots4.2
3.91st-half shots on target1.2
3.51st-half corners1.8

First-half chances

65%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
45%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
71%Chance of 3+ shots on target14%
36%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
63%Chance of 3+ corners27%
29%Chance of 5+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Bayern Munich10.411.5
Shots · 1. FC Union Berlin4.25.3
Shots on target · Bayern Munich3.94.4
Shots on target · 1. FC Union Berlin1.21.8
Corners · Bayern Munich3.54.0
Corners · 1. FC Union Berlin1.82.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+2.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Bayern Munich 3 · Draws 2 · 1. FC Union Berlin 0
1. FC Union Berlin in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Bayern München 4–0 Union Berlin
Dec 2025Union Berlin 2–3 Bayern München
Nov 2025Union Berlin 2–2 Bayern München
Mar 2025Union Berlin 1–1 Bayern München
Nov 2024Bayern München 3–0 Union Berlin
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

Bayern Munich beat 1. FC Union Berlin 7–0. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals; the match produced 7. Bayern Munich had 23 shots (15 on target) to 1. FC Union Berlin's 3 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.8 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

Bayern Munich 7–0 1. FC Union Berlin, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bayern Munich 80%, the draw 13% and 1. FC Union Berlin 8%.

What were the stats in Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 3.8–0.3, Shots 23–3, Shots on target 15–2, Shots inside box 14–2, Big chances 6–1, Corners 9–2, Saves 2–6, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

No. It finished 7–0, so 1. FC Union Berlin failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayern Munich to win 80%, it finished Bayern Munich won (80% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →Bayern Munich form →1. FC Union Berlin form →