How it finished
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Arsenal 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Arsenal at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Brighton & Hove Albion 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Brighton & Hove Albion had 17 shots (5 on target) to Arsenal's 11 (2), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.6, so Arsenal created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal?
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Arsenal 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Arsenal at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Brighton & Hove Albion 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Brighton & Hove Albion had 17 shots (5 on target) to Arsenal's 11 (2), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.6, so Arsenal created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal?
Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Arsenal, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brighton & Hove Albion 27%, the draw 27% and Arsenal 46%.
What were the stats in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.6, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 4–2, Corners 5–6, Saves 2–2, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal?
No. It finished 3–0, so Arsenal failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Arsenal or draw 73%, it finished Brighton & Hove Albion won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.