How it finished
Bristol City beat Watford 1–0. Bawler's model had Bristol City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Bristol City had 17 shots (7 on target) to Watford's 10 (2), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Bristol City vs Watford?
Bristol City beat Watford 1–0. Bawler's model had Bristol City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Bristol City had 17 shots (7 on target) to Watford's 10 (2), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Bristol City vs Watford?
Bristol City 1–0 Watford, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 40%, the draw 28% and Watford 33%.
What were the stats in Bristol City vs Watford?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.5, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 1–1, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–6, Fouls 11–15, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–5.
Did both teams score in Bristol City vs Watford?
No. It finished 1–0, so Watford failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bristol City vs Watford right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bristol City or draw 67%, it finished Bristol City won (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.