How it finished
FC Famalicao beat C.D. Nacional 4–0. Bawler's model had FC Famalicao in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. C.D. Nacional had 12 shots (3 on target) to FC Famalicao's 12 (7), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won C.D. Nacional vs FC Famalicao?
FC Famalicao beat C.D. Nacional 4–0. Bawler's model had FC Famalicao in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. C.D. Nacional had 12 shots (3 on target) to FC Famalicao's 12 (7), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.5.
What was the final score in C.D. Nacional vs FC Famalicao?
C.D. Nacional 0–4 FC Famalicao, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with C.D. Nacional 28%, the draw 28% and FC Famalicao 44%.
What were the stats in C.D. Nacional vs FC Famalicao?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.5, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 2–3, Corners 7–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–3, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in C.D. Nacional vs FC Famalicao?
No. It finished 0–4, so C.D. Nacional failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for C.D. Nacional vs FC Famalicao right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Famalicao or draw 72%, it finished FC Famalicao won (44% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed.