Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic prediction — Championship · Sat 19 Sept · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 19 Sept · 12:30 UK
Cardiff City 48Draw 26Charlton Athletic 25
Our call before kickoff
75%
Cardiff City or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

Cardiff City beat Charlton Athletic 3–1. Bawler's model had Cardiff City in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Cardiff City had 27 shots (8 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 6 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.0.

Cardiff CityFull-time statsCharlton…
62%Possession38%
2.7Expected goals (xG)1.0
27Shots6
8Shots on target3
16Shots inside box3
2Big chances3
6Corners1
2Saves5
10Fouls15
0Offsides4
5Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCardiff City or draw 75%Cardiff City won (48% called)
Total goals2.84
Both teams to score54%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Cardiff CityCharlton Athletic
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.1
18.5
Shots+6.0
12.5
6.5
On target+3.5
3.0
7.7
Corners+2.6
5.1
Cardiff CityCharlton Athletic
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
8.0
Shots+2.1
5.9
3.2
On target+1.8
1.4
3.6
Corners+1.2
2.4
Cardiff CityCharlton Athletic
1.0
Goals+0.2
0.8
10.5
Shots+3.9
6.6
3.4
On target+1.7
1.7
4.1
Corners+1.4
2.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Cardiff City to score80%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Charlton Athletic to score67%

First half — what we expected

Cardiff City
61%
to score before half-time
Charlton Athletic
28%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Cardiff CityCharlton Athletic
8.01st-half shots5.9
3.21st-half shots on target1.4
3.61st-half corners2.4

First-half chances

63%Chance of 7+ shots38%
40%Chance of 9+ shots19%
79%Chance of 2+ shots on target38%
39%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
65%Chance of 3+ corners41%
31%Chance of 5+ corners13%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Cardiff City8.010.5
Shots · Charlton Athletic5.96.6
Shots on target · Cardiff City3.23.4
Shots on target · Charlton Athletic1.41.7
Corners · Cardiff City3.64.1
Corners · Charlton Athletic2.42.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Cardiff City 1 · Draws 3 · Charlton Athletic 1
Charlton Athletic in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jun 2020Cardiff City 0–0 Charlton Athletic
Nov 2019Charlton Athletic 2–2 Cardiff City
Feb 2016Charlton Athletic 0–0 Cardiff City
Sept 2015Cardiff City 2–1 Charlton Athletic
Mar 2015Cardiff City 1–2 Charlton Athletic
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic?

Cardiff City beat Charlton Athletic 3–1. Bawler's model had Cardiff City in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Cardiff City had 27 shots (8 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 6 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic?

Cardiff City 3–1 Charlton Athletic, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cardiff City 48%, the draw 26% and Charlton Athletic 25%.

What were the stats in Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.0, Shots 27–6, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 16–3, Big chances 2–3, Corners 6–1, Saves 2–5, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 5–3.

Did both teams score in Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic?

Yes — both Cardiff City and Charlton Athletic scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cardiff City or draw 75%, it finished Cardiff City won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Cardiff City form →Charlton Athletic form →