Cardiff City beat Charlton Athletic 3–1. Bawler's model had Cardiff City in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Cardiff City had 27 shots (8 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 6 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Cardiff City beat Charlton Athletic 3–1. Bawler's model had Cardiff City in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Cardiff City had 27 shots (8 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 6 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.0.
Cardiff City 3–1 Charlton Athletic, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cardiff City 48%, the draw 26% and Charlton Athletic 25%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.0, Shots 27–6, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 16–3, Big chances 2–3, Corners 6–1, Saves 2–5, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 5–3.
Yes — both Cardiff City and Charlton Athletic scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cardiff City or draw 75%, it finished Cardiff City won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.