How it finished
Rangers beat Celtic 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Celtic at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Rangers 26%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Celtic had 5 shots (1 on target) to Rangers' 15 (8), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Celtic vs Rangers?
Rangers beat Celtic 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Celtic at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Rangers 26%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Celtic had 5 shots (1 on target) to Rangers' 15 (8), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Celtic vs Rangers?
Celtic 0–1 Rangers, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celtic 51%, the draw 23% and Rangers 26%.
What were the stats in Celtic vs Rangers?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.2, Shots 5–15, Shots on target 1–8, Shots inside box 4–10, Big chances 1–2, Corners 8–4, Saves 6–1, Fouls 16–19, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Celtic vs Rangers?
No. It finished 0–1, so Celtic failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Celtic vs Rangers right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celtic or draw 74%, it finished Rangers won (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Celtic to win 51%, it finished Missed.