How it finished
Chicago Fire FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chicago Fire FC 30%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Chicago Fire FC had 22 shots (7 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 15 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Chicago Fire FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Chicago Fire FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chicago Fire FC 30%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Chicago Fire FC had 22 shots (7 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 15 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Chicago Fire FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Chicago Fire FC 3–1 Vancouver Whitecaps, played on 07 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chicago Fire FC 30%, the draw 24% and Vancouver Whitecaps 45%.
What were the stats in Chicago Fire FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 3.9–1.1, Shots 22–15, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 15–12, Big chances 5–2, Corners 2–8, Saves 1–3, Fouls 8–11, Offsides 3–5, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Yes — both Chicago Fire FC and Vancouver Whitecaps scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps or draw 70%, it finished Chicago Fire FC won (30% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.