Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF prediction — MLS · Mon 28 Sept · 00:00 UK

MLS · Mon 28 Sept · 00:00 UK
Columbus Crew 39Draw 24Inter Miami CF 38
Our call before kickoff
62%
Columbus Crew or draw
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
83%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
68%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
68%

How it finished

Columbus Crew beat Inter Miami CF 2–1. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Columbus Crew had 14 shots (6 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 5 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.3.

Columbus CrewFull-time statsInter Miami
44%Possession56%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.3
14Shots5
6Shots on target3
6Shots inside box2
3Big chances0
9Corners1
2Saves4
18Fouls17
1Offsides4
5Yellow cards6
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callColumbus Crew or draw 62%Columbus Crew won (39% called)
Total goals3.53
Both teams to score68%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 86%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Columbus CrewInter Miami CF
1.8
Goals
1.7
15.7
Shots+5.7
10.1
4.5
On target+1.0
5.5
5.3
Corners+0.6
4.7
Columbus CrewInter Miami CF
0.7
Goals+0.1
0.5
7.2
Shots+2.5
4.6
2.0
On target+0.4
2.4
2.5
Corners+0.3
2.2
Columbus CrewInter Miami CF
1.1
Goals+0.1
1.2
8.5
Shots+3.1
5.4
2.4
On target+0.6
3.1
2.8
Corners+0.3
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Columbus Crew to score83%
Inter Miami CF to score82%
Over 2.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Columbus Crew
65%
to score before half-time
Inter Miami CF
51%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%

Columbus CrewInter Miami CF
7.21st-half shots4.6
2.01st-half shots on target2.4
2.51st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

66%Chance of 6+ shots33%
42%Chance of 8+ shots14%
83%Chance of 1+ shots on target88%
33%Chance of 3+ shots on target42%
88%Chance of 1+ corners84%
43%Chance of 3+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Columbus Crew7.28.5
Shots · Inter Miami CF4.65.4
Shots on target · Columbus Crew2.02.4
Shots on target · Inter Miami CF2.43.1
Corners · Columbus Crew2.52.8
Corners · Inter Miami CF2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Columbus Crew 1 · Draws 1 · Inter Miami CF 3
Inter Miami CF in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Aug 2026Inter Miami CF 2–2 Columbus Crew
May 2025Inter Miami CF 5–1 Columbus Crew
Apr 2025Columbus Crew 0–1 Inter Miami CF
Oct 2024Columbus Crew 2–3 Inter Miami CF
Aug 2024Columbus Crew 3–2 Inter Miami CF
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?

Columbus Crew beat Inter Miami CF 2–1. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Columbus Crew had 14 shots (6 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 5 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?

Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami CF, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Columbus Crew 39%, the draw 24% and Inter Miami CF 38%.

What were the stats in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.3, Shots 14–5, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 6–2, Big chances 3–0, Corners 9–1, Saves 2–4, Fouls 18–17, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 5–6, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?

Yes — both Columbus Crew and Inter Miami CF scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Columbus Crew or draw 62%, it finished Columbus Crew won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 68%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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