Columbus Crew beat Inter Miami CF 2–1. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Columbus Crew had 14 shots (6 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 5 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Columbus Crew beat Inter Miami CF 2–1. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Columbus Crew had 14 shots (6 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 5 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.3.
Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami CF, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Columbus Crew 39%, the draw 24% and Inter Miami CF 38%.
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.3, Shots 14–5, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 6–2, Big chances 3–0, Corners 9–1, Saves 2–4, Fouls 18–17, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 5–6, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Columbus Crew and Inter Miami CF scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Columbus Crew or draw 62%, it finished Columbus Crew won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 68%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed.