Como and AS Roma drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Como at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Como had 19 shots (4 on target) to AS Roma's 9 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Como and AS Roma drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Como at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Como had 19 shots (4 on target) to AS Roma's 9 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.1.
Como 0–0 AS Roma, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Como 42%, the draw 27% and AS Roma 31%.
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.1, Shots 19–9, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 9–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 2–4, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 0–0, so Como failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Como or draw 69%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.