Como vs AS Roma prediction — Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 11:30 UK

Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 11:30 UK
Como 42Draw 27AS Roma 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Como or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

Como and AS Roma drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Como at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Como had 19 shots (4 on target) to AS Roma's 9 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.1.

ComoFull-time statsAS Roma
66%Possession34%
1.4Expected goals (xG)1.1
19Shots9
4Shots on target2
9Shots inside box4
4Big chances2
6Corners2
2Saves4
9Fouls9
0Offsides3
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callComo or draw 69%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.80
Both teams to score56%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ComoAS Roma
1.5
Goals+0.2
1.3
13.3
Shots+1.5
11.8
7.3
Corners+0.8
6.5
ComoAS Roma
0.5
Goals
0.5
6.5
Shots+0.8
5.7
3.5
Corners+0.4
3.1
ComoAS Roma
1.0
Goals+0.2
0.8
6.7
Shots+0.6
6.1
3.9
Corners+0.5
3.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Como to score78%
Over 1.5 goals76%
AS Roma to score72%
Under 3.5 goals70%

First half — what we expected

Como
50%
to score before half-time
AS Roma
50%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

ComoAS Roma
6.51st-half shots5.7
3.21st-half shots on target4.0
3.51st-half corners3.1

First-half chances

58%Chance of 6+ shots47%
34%Chance of 8+ shots24%
58%Chance of 3+ shots on target72%
23%Chance of 5+ shots on target37%
81%Chance of 2+ corners76%
44%Chance of 4+ corners36%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Como6.56.7
Shots · AS Roma5.76.1
Shots on target · Como3.23.5
Shots on target · AS Roma4.04.4
Corners · Como3.53.9
Corners · AS Roma3.13.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Como form (last 6)W W W W L D
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
AS Roma in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Como vs AS Roma?

Como and AS Roma drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Como at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Como had 19 shots (4 on target) to AS Roma's 9 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Como vs AS Roma?

Como 0–0 AS Roma, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Como 42%, the draw 27% and AS Roma 31%.

What were the stats in Como vs AS Roma?

Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.1, Shots 19–9, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 9–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 2–4, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Como vs AS Roma?

No. It finished 0–0, so Como failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Como vs AS Roma right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Como or draw 69%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Como form →AS Roma form →