Como vs Parma prediction — Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 17:30 UK

Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 17:30 UK
VersusParmaParma
Como 69Draw 20Parma 10
Our call before kickoff
69%
Como to win
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
70%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
42%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
51%

How it finished

Como beat Parma 2–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Como had 28 shots (7 on target) to Parma's 12 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.2.

ComoFull-time statsParma
64%Possession36%
3.2Expected goals (xG)1.2
28Shots12
7Shots on target4
24Shots inside box7
6Big chances3
11Corners4
3Saves5
8Fouls4
4Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callComo to win 69%Como won (69% called)
Total goals2.73
Both teams to score42%Yes
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ComoParma
2.0
Goals+1.4
0.7
19.3
Shots+12.6
6.7
6.4
On target+4.2
2.2
6.1
Corners+3.8
2.4
ComoParma
0.6
Goals+0.4
0.2
9.5
Shots+6.5
3.1
3.1
On target+2.2
0.9
2.9
Corners+1.8
1.1
ComoParma
1.4
Goals+1.0
0.4
9.8
Shots+6.1
3.7
3.3
On target+2.1
1.3
3.3
Corners+2.0
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Como to score87%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals71%

First half — what we expected

Como
61%
to score before half-time
Parma
24%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%

ComoParma
9.51st-half shots3.1
3.11st-half shots on target0.9
2.91st-half corners1.1

First-half chances

57%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
37%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
77%Chance of 2+ shots on target23%
37%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
73%Chance of 2+ corners30%
33%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Como9.59.8
Shots · Parma3.13.7
Shots on target · Como3.13.3
Shots on target · Parma0.91.3
Corners · Como2.93.3
Corners · Parma1.11.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Como 2 · Draws 3 · Parma 0
Parma in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Como 1–0 Parma
Oct 2025Parma 0–0 Como
May 2025Parma 0–1 Como
Oct 2024Como 1–1 Parma
Feb 2024Como 1–1 Parma
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Como vs Parma?

Como beat Parma 2–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Como had 28 shots (7 on target) to Parma's 12 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Como vs Parma?

Como 2–1 Parma, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Como 69%, the draw 20% and Parma 10%.

What were the stats in Como vs Parma?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–1.2, Shots 28–12, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 24–7, Big chances 6–3, Corners 11–4, Saves 3–5, Fouls 8–4, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Como vs Parma?

Yes — both Como and Parma scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 42% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Como vs Parma right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Como to win 69%, it finished Como won (69% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 42%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Como form →Parma form →