Como beat Parma 2–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Como had 28 shots (7 on target) to Parma's 12 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Como beat Parma 2–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Como had 28 shots (7 on target) to Parma's 12 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.2.
Como 2–1 Parma, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Como 69%, the draw 20% and Parma 10%.
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–1.2, Shots 28–12, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 24–7, Big chances 6–3, Corners 11–4, Saves 3–5, Fouls 8–4, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both Como and Parma scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 42% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Como to win 69%, it finished Como won (69% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 42%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.