How it finished
Deportivo beat Valencia 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Deportivo 34%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Deportivo had 11 shots (4 on target) to Valencia's 12 (4), with 45% of the ball against 56%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Deportivo vs Valencia?
Deportivo beat Valencia 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Deportivo 34%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Deportivo had 11 shots (4 on target) to Valencia's 12 (4), with 45% of the ball against 56%.
What was the final score in Deportivo vs Valencia?
Deportivo 3–1 Valencia, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Deportivo 34%, the draw 28% and Valencia 39%.
What were the stats in Deportivo vs Valencia?
Full-time: Possession 45%–56%, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 4–4, Corners 5–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 14–5, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Deportivo vs Valencia?
Yes — both Deportivo and Valencia scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Deportivo vs Valencia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Valencia or draw 66%, it finished Deportivo won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.