How it finished
Erzurum BB beat Samsunspor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Erzurum BB 31%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Erzurum BB had 8 shots (2 on target) to Samsunspor's 8 (2), with 42% of the ball against 58%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor?
Erzurum BB beat Samsunspor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Erzurum BB 31%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Erzurum BB had 8 shots (2 on target) to Samsunspor's 8 (2), with 42% of the ball against 58%.
What was the final score in Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor?
Erzurum BB 1–0 Samsunspor, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Erzurum BB 31%, the draw 27% and Samsunspor 42%.
What were the stats in Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Shots 8–8, Shots on target 2–2, Corners 3–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor?
No. It finished 1–0, so Samsunspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Samsunspor or draw 69%, it finished Erzurum BB won (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Missed.