How it finished
Estoril and Arouca drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Estoril at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Estoril had 18 shots (8 on target) to Arouca's 12 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Estoril vs Arouca?
Estoril and Arouca drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Estoril at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Estoril had 18 shots (8 on target) to Arouca's 12 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Estoril vs Arouca?
Estoril 0–0 Arouca, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Estoril 43%, the draw 26% and Arouca 32%.
What were the stats in Estoril vs Arouca?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.1, Shots 18–12, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 3–4, Corners 8–2, Saves 2–8, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in Estoril vs Arouca?
No. It finished 0–0, so Estoril failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Estoril vs Arouca right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Estoril or draw 68%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.