How it finished
Rio Ave beat Estoril 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Estoril at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Rio Ave 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Estoril had 18 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 3 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.7, so Estoril created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Rio Ave beat Estoril 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Estoril at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Rio Ave 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Estoril had 18 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 3 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.7, so Estoril created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Estoril 0–2 Rio Ave, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Estoril 47%, the draw 26% and Rio Ave 27%.
What were the stats in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.7, Shots 18–3, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 11–3, Big chances 1–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–6, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
No. It finished 0–2, so Estoril failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Estoril vs Rio Ave right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Estoril or draw 73%, it finished Rio Ave won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed.