How it finished
FC Augsburg and Bayern Munich drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Bayern Munich at 70% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 17%. It forecast 4.0 goals and the match produced 4. FC Augsburg had 12 shots (5 on target) to Bayern Munich's 29 (10), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 5.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?
FC Augsburg and Bayern Munich drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Bayern Munich at 70% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 17%. It forecast 4.0 goals and the match produced 4. FC Augsburg had 12 shots (5 on target) to Bayern Munich's 29 (10), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 5.0.
What was the final score in FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?
FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern Munich, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Augsburg 14%, the draw 17% and Bayern Munich 70%.
What were the stats in FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?
Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–5.0, Shots 12–29, Shots on target 5–10, Shots inside box 10–16, Big chances 3–6, Corners 5–9, Saves 8–3, Fouls 10–6, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–0.
Did both teams score in FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?
Yes — both FC Augsburg and Bayern Munich scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayern Munich to win 70%, it finished Draw (17% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes.