How it finished
FC Twente beat PSV Eindhoven 3–2. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 5. FC Twente had 20 shots (5 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 11 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?
FC Twente beat PSV Eindhoven 3–2. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 5. FC Twente had 20 shots (5 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 11 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.8.
What was the final score in FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?
FC Twente 3–2 PSV Eindhoven, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Twente 39%, the draw 24% and PSV Eindhoven 37%.
What were the stats in FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.8, Shots 20–11, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 2–3, Corners 6–5, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?
Yes — both FC Twente and PSV Eindhoven scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente or draw 63%, it finished FC Twente won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.