FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 30 Aug · 11:15 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 30 Aug · 11:15 UK
FC Utrecht 28Draw 24PSV Eindhoven 48
Our call before kickoff
72%
PSV Eindhoven or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–6
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
64%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Utrecht 6–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 7. FC Utrecht had 1 shots (1 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 30 (14), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 3.6.

FC UtrechtFull-time statsPSV Eindhoven
34%Possession66%
0.3Expected goals (xG)3.6
1Shots30
1Shots on target14
1Shots inside box15
1Big chances5
0Corners13
7Saves0
21Fouls8
1Offsides1
5Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPSV Eindhoven or draw 72%PSV Eindhoven won (48% called)
Total goals3.37
Both teams to score64%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
1.4
Goals+0.5
1.9
15.2
Shots+0.7
14.5
5.0
On target+1.2
6.2
4.8
Corners+0.8
5.5
FC UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
6.9
Shots+0.5
6.4
2.1
On target+0.5
2.7
2.2
Corners+0.4
2.6
FC UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
1.0
Goals+0.3
1.3
8.3
Shots+0.2
8.1
2.9
On target+0.6
3.5
2.5
Corners+0.4
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
PSV Eindhoven to score85%
Over 1.5 goals84%
FC Utrecht to score76%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

FC Utrecht
41%
to score before half-time
PSV Eindhoven
58%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

FC UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
6.91st-half shots6.4
2.11st-half shots on target2.7
2.21st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

63%Chance of 6+ shots57%
39%Chance of 8+ shots33%
59%Chance of 2+ shots on target71%
19%Chance of 4+ shots on target29%
61%Chance of 2+ corners68%
21%Chance of 4+ corners28%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · FC Utrecht6.98.3
Shots · PSV Eindhoven6.48.1
Shots on target · FC Utrecht2.12.9
Shots on target · PSV Eindhoven2.73.5
Corners · FC Utrecht2.22.5
Corners · PSV Eindhoven2.62.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FC Utrecht 0 · Draws 2 · PSV Eindhoven 3
PSV Eindhoven in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026PSV Eindhoven 4–3 FC Utrecht
Dec 2025FC Utrecht 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
Feb 2025PSV Eindhoven 2–2 FC Utrecht
Dec 2024FC Utrecht 2–5 PSV Eindhoven
Jan 2024FC Utrecht 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Utrecht 6–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 7. FC Utrecht had 1 shots (1 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 30 (14), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 3.6.

What was the final score in FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

FC Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Utrecht 28%, the draw 24% and PSV Eindhoven 48%.

What were the stats in FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–3.6, Shots 1–30, Shots on target 1–14, Shots inside box 1–15, Big chances 1–5, Corners 0–13, Saves 7–0, Fouls 21–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 5–1.

Did both teams score in FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Yes — both FC Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven scored, finishing 1–6. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PSV Eindhoven or draw 72%, it finished PSV Eindhoven won (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →FC Utrecht form →PSV Eindhoven form →