Galatasaray beat Goztepe 3–2. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Galatasaray had 34 shots (11 on target) to Goztepe's 10 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Galatasaray beat Goztepe 3–2. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Galatasaray had 34 shots (11 on target) to Goztepe's 10 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.6.
Galatasaray 3–2 Goztepe, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Galatasaray 61%, the draw 21% and Goztepe 17%.
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–0.6, Shots 34–10, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 27–6, Big chances 5–1, Corners 6–2, Saves 2–8, Fouls 5–12, Offsides 2–5, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Galatasaray and Goztepe scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Galatasaray to win 61%, it finished Galatasaray won (61% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.