Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahce drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 58% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Gaziantep FK had 11 shots (0 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (4), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahce drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 58% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Gaziantep FK had 11 shots (0 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (4), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.3.
Gaziantep FK 0–0 Fenerbahce, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gaziantep FK 19%, the draw 23% and Fenerbahce 58%.
Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.3, Shots 11–15, Shots on target 0–4, Shots inside box 5–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–6, Saves 4–0, Fouls 16–8, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 4–3.
No. It finished 0–0, so Gaziantep FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fenerbahce or draw 81%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.