Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce prediction — Süper Lig · Mon 14 Sept · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Mon 14 Sept · 18:00 UK
Gaziantep FK 19Draw 23Fenerbahce 58
Our call before kickoff
81%
Fenerbahce or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahce drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 58% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Gaziantep FK had 11 shots (0 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (4), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.3.

Gaziantep FKFull-time statsFenerbahce
32%Possession68%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.3
11Shots15
0Shots on target4
5Shots inside box11
1Big chances1
6Corners6
4Saves0
16Fouls8
0Offsides1
4Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFenerbahce or draw 81%Draw (23% called)
Total goals3.10
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Gaziantep FKFenerbahce
1.1
Goals+0.9
2.0
15.4
Shots+0.7
16.1
4.8
On target+4.1
8.8
3.4
Corners+4.2
7.6
Gaziantep FKFenerbahce
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
6.8
Shots+0.6
7.4
2.0
On target+1.9
3.9
1.6
Corners+2.0
3.6
Gaziantep FKFenerbahce
0.7
Goals+0.7
1.4
8.6
Shots+0.1
8.7
2.7
On target+2.2
4.9
1.8
Corners+2.2
4.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Fenerbahce to score87%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Gaziantep FK to score66%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Gaziantep FK
42%
to score before half-time
Fenerbahce
63%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Gaziantep FKFenerbahce
6.81st-half shots7.4
2.01st-half shots on target3.9
1.61st-half corners3.6

First-half chances

62%Chance of 6+ shots69%
38%Chance of 8+ shots45%
33%Chance of 3+ shots on target71%
<10%Chance of 5+ shots on target36%
23%Chance of 3+ corners64%
<10%Chance of 5+ corners30%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Gaziantep FK6.88.6
Shots · Fenerbahce7.48.7
Shots on target · Gaziantep FK2.02.7
Shots on target · Fenerbahce3.94.9
Corners · Gaziantep FK1.61.8
Corners · Fenerbahce3.64.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Gaziantep FK 0 · Draws 0 · Fenerbahce 5
Fenerbahce in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Fenerbahçe 4–1 Gaziantep FK
Mar 2026Gaziantep FK 0–4 Fenerbahçe
Oct 2025Gaziantep FK 0–4 Fenerbahçe
Apr 2025Gaziantep FK 1–3 Fenerbahçe
Feb 2025Gaziantep FK 1–4 Fenerbahçe
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce?

Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahce drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 58% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Gaziantep FK had 11 shots (0 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (4), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce?

Gaziantep FK 0–0 Fenerbahce, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gaziantep FK 19%, the draw 23% and Fenerbahce 58%.

What were the stats in Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce?

Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.3, Shots 11–15, Shots on target 0–4, Shots inside box 5–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–6, Saves 4–0, Fouls 16–8, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 4–3.

Did both teams score in Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce?

No. It finished 0–0, so Gaziantep FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahce right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fenerbahce or draw 81%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Gaziantep FK form →Fenerbahce form →