Kasimpasa beat Genclerbirligi 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Genclerbirligi at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kasimpasa 30%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Genclerbirligi had 15 shots (5 on target) to Kasimpasa's 16 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Kasimpasa beat Genclerbirligi 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Genclerbirligi at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kasimpasa 30%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Genclerbirligi had 15 shots (5 on target) to Kasimpasa's 16 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.
Genclerbirligi 1–2 Kasimpasa, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genclerbirligi 42%, the draw 29% and Kasimpasa 30%.
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 15–16, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 1–4, Corners 8–9, Saves 1–4, Fouls 18–14, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–3.
Yes — both Genclerbirligi and Kasimpasa scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Genclerbirligi or draw 70%, it finished Kasimpasa won (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 70%, it finished Landed.