Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 13 Sept · 15:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 13 Sept · 15:00 UK
Genclerbirligi 42Draw 29Kasimpasa 30
Our call before kickoff
70%
Genclerbirligi or draw
Missed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
66%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
45%

How it finished

Kasimpasa beat Genclerbirligi 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Genclerbirligi at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kasimpasa 30%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Genclerbirligi had 15 shots (5 on target) to Kasimpasa's 16 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.

GenclerbirligiFull-time statsKasimpasa
42%Possession58%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
15Shots16
5Shots on target3
12Shots inside box9
1Big chances4
8Corners9
1Saves4
18Fouls14
1Offsides1
4Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGenclerbirligi or draw 70%Kasimpasa won (30% called)
Total goals2.53
Both teams to score50%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 70%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GenclerbirligiKasimpasa
1.4
Goals+0.3
1.1
GenclerbirligiKasimpasa
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
GenclerbirligiKasimpasa
0.9
Goals+0.2
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals77%
Genclerbirligi to score74%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Kasimpasa to score67%

First half — what we expected

Genclerbirligi
45%
to score before half-time
Kasimpasa
39%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Kasimpasa in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa?

Kasimpasa beat Genclerbirligi 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Genclerbirligi at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kasimpasa 30%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Genclerbirligi had 15 shots (5 on target) to Kasimpasa's 16 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa?

Genclerbirligi 1–2 Kasimpasa, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genclerbirligi 42%, the draw 29% and Kasimpasa 30%.

What were the stats in Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 15–16, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 1–4, Corners 8–9, Saves 1–4, Fouls 18–14, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–3.

Did both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa?

Yes — both Genclerbirligi and Kasimpasa scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Genclerbirligi or draw 70%, it finished Kasimpasa won (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 70%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Genclerbirligi form →Kasimpasa form →