How it finished
KAA Gent beat Hibernian 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Hibernian had 14 shots (5 on target) to KAA Gent's 13 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
KAA Gent beat Hibernian 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Hibernian had 14 shots (5 on target) to KAA Gent's 13 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
Hibernian 2–3 KAA Gent, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hibernian 37%, the draw 26% and KAA Gent 37%.
What were the stats in Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.2, Shots 14–13, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 10–9, Big chances 2–3, Corners 6–6, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
Yes — both Hibernian and KAA Gent scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Hibernian vs KAA Gent right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hibernian or draw 63%, it finished KAA Gent won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.