Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen prediction — Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 20:00 UK
Juventus 70Draw 18NEC Nijmegen 12
Our call before kickoff
70%
Juventus to win
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
69%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
67%

How it finished

Juventus beat NEC Nijmegen 5–0. Bawler's model had Juventus in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Juventus had 11 shots (7 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 0.8.

JuventusFull-time statsNEC Nijmegen
48%Possession52%
4.1Expected goals (xG)0.8
11Shots11
7Shots on target3
9Shots inside box5
5Big chances0
0Corners1
3Saves2
9Fouls19
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callJuventus to win 70%Juventus won (70% called)
Total goals3.55
Both teams to score57%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

JuventusNEC Nijmegen
2.5
Goals+1.5
1.0
22.7
Shots+16.3
6.4
8.5
On target+6.4
2.2
12.2
Corners+9.5
2.7
JuventusNEC Nijmegen
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.3
10.4
Shots+7.5
2.9
3.8
On target+2.8
1.0
5.8
Corners+4.5
1.3
JuventusNEC Nijmegen
1.9
Goals+1.3
0.7
12.3
Shots+8.8
3.6
4.8
On target+3.6
1.2
6.5
Corners+5.1
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Juventus to score92%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
NEC Nijmegen to score62%

First half — what we expected

Juventus
55%
to score before half-time
NEC Nijmegen
32%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%

JuventusNEC Nijmegen
10.41st-half shots2.9
3.81st-half shots on target1.0
5.81st-half corners1.3

First-half chances

65%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
45%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
69%Chance of 3+ shots on target10%
33%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
64%Chance of 5+ corners<10%
36%Chance of 7+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Juventus10.412.3
Shots · NEC Nijmegen2.93.6
Shots on target · Juventus3.84.8
Shots on target · NEC Nijmegen1.01.2
Corners · Juventus5.86.5
Corners · NEC Nijmegen1.31.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.5 / match
NEC Nijmegen in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

Juventus beat NEC Nijmegen 5–0. Bawler's model had Juventus in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Juventus had 11 shots (7 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

Juventus 5–0 NEC Nijmegen, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Juventus 70%, the draw 18% and NEC Nijmegen 12%.

What were the stats in Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 4.1–0.8, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 5–0, Corners 0–1, Saves 3–2, Fouls 9–19, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

No. It finished 5–0, so NEC Nijmegen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Juventus to win 70%, it finished Juventus won (70% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Juventus form →NEC Nijmegen form →