Juventus beat NEC Nijmegen 5–0. Bawler's model had Juventus in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Juventus had 11 shots (7 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Juventus beat NEC Nijmegen 5–0. Bawler's model had Juventus in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Juventus had 11 shots (7 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 0.8.
Juventus 5–0 NEC Nijmegen, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Juventus 70%, the draw 18% and NEC Nijmegen 12%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 4.1–0.8, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 5–0, Corners 0–1, Saves 3–2, Fouls 9–19, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 5–0, so NEC Nijmegen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Juventus to win 70%, it finished Juventus won (70% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No.