LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK
LA Galaxy 38Draw 24San Jose Earthquakes 38
Our call before kickoff
62%
LA Galaxy or draw
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
67%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

LA Galaxy beat San Jose Earthquakes 1–0. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. LA Galaxy had 10 shots (7 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 22 (5), with 37% of the ball against 63%.

LA GalaxyFull-time statsSan Jose…
37%Possession63%
10Shots22
7Shots on target5
2Corners5
4Saves6
12Fouls17
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLA Galaxy or draw 62%LA Galaxy won (38% called)
Total goals3.41
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 85%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LA GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
1.7
Goals
1.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals85%
LA Galaxy to score82%
San Jose Earthquakes to score82%
Over 2.5 goals66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LA Galaxy 2 · Draws 2 · San Jose Earthquakes 1
San Jose Earthquakes in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jul 2026San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 LA Galaxy
Jun 2025San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 LA Galaxy
May 2025LA Galaxy 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes
Aug 2024San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 LA Galaxy
Jun 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0–3 LA Galaxy
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?

LA Galaxy beat San Jose Earthquakes 1–0. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. LA Galaxy had 10 shots (7 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 22 (5), with 37% of the ball against 63%.

What was the final score in LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?

LA Galaxy 1–0 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LA Galaxy 38%, the draw 24% and San Jose Earthquakes 38%.

What were the stats in LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Shots 10–22, Shots on target 7–5, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–6, Fouls 12–17, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 1–0.

Was Bawler's prediction for LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LA Galaxy or draw 62%, it finished LA Galaxy won (38% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 1; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →LA Galaxy form →San Jose Earthquakes form →