How it finished
Lazio beat Genoa 1–0. Bawler's model had Lazio in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Lazio had 15 shots (2 on target) to Genoa's 8 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lazio vs Genoa?
Lazio beat Genoa 1–0. Bawler's model had Lazio in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Lazio had 15 shots (2 on target) to Genoa's 8 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Lazio vs Genoa?
Lazio 1–0 Genoa, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lazio 43%, the draw 28% and Genoa 29%.
What were the stats in Lazio vs Genoa?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.6, Shots 15–8, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 8–5, Big chances 4–2, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–1, Fouls 18–6, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Lazio vs Genoa?
No. It finished 1–0, so Genoa failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lazio vs Genoa right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lazio or draw 71%, it finished Lazio won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 71%, it finished Missed.