How it finished
AS Roma beat Lecce 4–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Lecce had 7 shots (3 on target) to AS Roma's 15 (8), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Lecce vs AS Roma?
AS Roma beat Lecce 4–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Lecce had 7 shots (3 on target) to AS Roma's 15 (8), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.4.
What was the final score in Lecce vs AS Roma?
Lecce 0–4 AS Roma, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lecce 19%, the draw 25% and AS Roma 56%.
What were the stats in Lecce vs AS Roma?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–3.4, Shots 7–15, Shots on target 3–8, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 2–7, Corners 2–1, Saves 4–2, Fouls 9–8, Offsides 0–9, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Lecce vs AS Roma?
No. It finished 0–4, so Lecce failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lecce vs AS Roma right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Roma or draw 81%, it finished AS Roma won (56% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No.