How it finished
Bologna beat Lecce 2–1. Bawler's model had Bologna in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Lecce had 19 shots (5 on target) to Bologna's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lecce vs Bologna?
Bologna beat Lecce 2–1. Bawler's model had Bologna in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Lecce had 19 shots (5 on target) to Bologna's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Lecce vs Bologna?
Lecce 1–2 Bologna, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lecce 25%, the draw 27% and Bologna 48%.
What were the stats in Lecce vs Bologna?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.5, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 14–8, Big chances 2–4, Corners 10–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 17–8, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Lecce vs Bologna?
Yes — both Lecce and Bologna scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lecce vs Bologna right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bologna or draw 75%, it finished Bologna won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Landed.