Leeds United vs Crystal Palace prediction — Premier League · Sun 20 Sept · 14:00 UK

Premier League · Sun 20 Sept · 14:00 UK
Leeds United 43Draw 25Crystal Palace 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Leeds United or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
80%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Leeds United and Crystal Palace drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Leeds United at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Leeds United had 13 shots (2 on target) to Crystal Palace's 12 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.

Leeds UnitedFull-time statsCrystal…
51%Possession49%
1.4Expected goals (xG)0.8
13Shots12
2Shots on target4
9Shots inside box4
1Big chances2
4Corners3
5Saves2
10Fouls12
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLeeds United or draw 69%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.00
Both teams to score61%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Leeds UnitedCrystal Palace
1.7
Goals+0.3
1.4
20.3
Shots+8.1
12.1
5.9
On target+2.3
3.6
5.9
Corners+3.7
2.2
Leeds UnitedCrystal Palace
0.6
Goals
0.6
9.7
Shots+3.7
5.9
2.7
On target+0.9
1.8
2.8
Corners+1.7
1.1
Leeds UnitedCrystal Palace
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.8
10.6
Shots+4.4
6.2
3.2
On target+1.4
1.8
3.1
Corners+2.0
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Leeds United to score81%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Crystal Palace to score75%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Leeds United
56%
to score before half-time
Crystal Palace
55%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%

Leeds UnitedCrystal Palace
9.71st-half shots5.9
2.71st-half shots on target1.8
2.81st-half corners1.1

First-half chances

58%Chance of 9+ shots19%
38%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
70%Chance of 2+ shots on target50%
28%Chance of 4+ shots on target13%
71%Chance of 2+ corners28%
31%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Leeds United9.710.6
Shots · Crystal Palace5.96.2
Shots on target · Leeds United2.73.2
Shots on target · Crystal Palace1.81.8
Corners · Leeds United2.83.1
Corners · Crystal Palace1.11.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Crystal Palace in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Leeds United and Crystal Palace drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Leeds United at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Leeds United had 13 shots (2 on target) to Crystal Palace's 12 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Leeds United 0–0 Crystal Palace, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Leeds United 43%, the draw 25% and Crystal Palace 31%.

What were the stats in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.8, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 9–4, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–3, Saves 5–2, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

No. It finished 0–0, so Leeds United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Leeds United or draw 69%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Leeds United form →Crystal Palace form →