How it finished
Lille beat Le Havre AC 1–0. Bawler's model had Lille in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Lille had 5 shots (1 on target) to Le Havre AC's 17 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.3, so Le Havre AC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 59%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lille vs Le Havre AC?
Lille beat Le Havre AC 1–0. Bawler's model had Lille in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Lille had 5 shots (1 on target) to Le Havre AC's 17 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.3, so Le Havre AC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Lille vs Le Havre AC?
Lille 1–0 Le Havre AC, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lille 57%, the draw 24% and Le Havre AC 18%.
What were the stats in Lille vs Le Havre AC?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.3, Shots 5–17, Shots on target 1–2, Shots inside box 3–9, Big chances 3–0, Corners 4–5, Saves 2–0, Fouls 17–12, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Lille vs Le Havre AC?
No. It finished 1–0, so Le Havre AC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lille vs Le Havre AC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lille or draw 82%, it finished Lille won (57% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.