Manchester United beat Sabah FK 4–0. Bawler's model had Manchester United in front at 90% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.3 goals and the match produced 4. Manchester United had 21 shots (10 on target) to Sabah FK's 11 (0), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Manchester United beat Sabah FK 4–0. Bawler's model had Manchester United in front at 90% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.3 goals and the match produced 4. Manchester United had 21 shots (10 on target) to Sabah FK's 11 (0), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.9.
Manchester United 4–0 Sabah FK, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester United 90%, the draw 8% and Sabah FK 3%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–0.9, Shots 21–11, Shots on target 10–0, Shots inside box 15–6, Big chances 5–2, Corners 7–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 4–0, so Sabah FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester United to win 90%, it finished Manchester United won (90% called); Total goals — we said 4.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.