Manchester United vs Sabah FK prediction — Champions League · Thu 10 Sept · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Thu 10 Sept · 20:00 UK
Manchester United 90Draw 8Sabah FK 3
Our call before kickoff
90%
Manchester United to win
Landed
4.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
84%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
80%

How it finished

Manchester United beat Sabah FK 4–0. Bawler's model had Manchester United in front at 90% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.3 goals and the match produced 4. Manchester United had 21 shots (10 on target) to Sabah FK's 11 (0), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.9.

Manchester…Full-time statsSabah FK
58%Possession42%
3.7Expected goals (xG)0.9
21Shots11
10Shots on target0
15Shots inside box6
5Big chances2
7Corners2
0Saves5
12Fouls13
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callManchester United to win 90%Manchester United won (90% called)
Total goals4.34
Both teams to score46%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Manchester UnitedSabah FK
3.6
Goals+3.0
0.6
18.7
Shots+14.7
4.0
7.0
On target+5.8
1.2
5.6
Corners+1.6
4.0
Manchester UnitedSabah FK
0.8
Goals+0.5
0.2
8.5
Shots+6.7
1.8
3.1
On target+2.5
0.5
2.6
Corners+0.8
1.9
Manchester UnitedSabah FK
2.9
Goals+2.5
0.4
10.2
Shots+8.0
2.2
3.9
On target+3.3
0.6
3.0
Corners+0.9
2.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Manchester United
79%
to score before half-time
Sabah FK
25%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%

Manchester UnitedSabah FK
8.51st-half shots1.8
3.11st-half shots on target0.5
2.61st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

57%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
36%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
77%Chance of 2+ shots on target11%
37%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
68%Chance of 2+ corners51%
28%Chance of 4+ corners15%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Manchester United8.510.2
Shots · Sabah FK1.82.2
Shots on target · Manchester United3.13.9
Shots on target · Sabah FK0.50.6
Corners · Manchester United2.63.0
Corners · Sabah FK1.92.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+3.0 / match
Sabah FK in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Manchester United vs Sabah FK?

Manchester United beat Sabah FK 4–0. Bawler's model had Manchester United in front at 90% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.3 goals and the match produced 4. Manchester United had 21 shots (10 on target) to Sabah FK's 11 (0), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Manchester United vs Sabah FK?

Manchester United 4–0 Sabah FK, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester United 90%, the draw 8% and Sabah FK 3%.

What were the stats in Manchester United vs Sabah FK?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–0.9, Shots 21–11, Shots on target 10–0, Shots inside box 15–6, Big chances 5–2, Corners 7–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Manchester United vs Sabah FK?

No. It finished 4–0, so Sabah FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Manchester United vs Sabah FK right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester United to win 90%, it finished Manchester United won (90% called); Total goals — we said 4.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Manchester United form →Sabah FK form →