Millwall and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Millwall had 19 shots (7 on target) to West Ham United's 15 (6), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Millwall and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Millwall had 19 shots (7 on target) to West Ham United's 15 (6), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.4.
Millwall 2–2 West Ham United, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Millwall 27%, the draw 24% and West Ham United 48%.
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–1.4, Shots 19–15, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 15–8, Big chances 3–3, Corners 3–11, Saves 4–4, Fouls 17–18, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Millwall and West Ham United scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United or draw 73%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.