Millwall vs West Ham United prediction — Championship · Sat 19 Sept · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 19 Sept · 12:30 UK
Millwall 27Draw 24West Ham United 48
Our call before kickoff
73%
West Ham United or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Millwall and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Millwall had 19 shots (7 on target) to West Ham United's 15 (6), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.4.

MillwallFull-time statsWest Ham…
33%Possession67%
2.5Expected goals (xG)1.4
19Shots15
7Shots on target6
15Shots inside box8
3Big chances3
3Corners11
4Saves4
17Fouls18
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callWest Ham United or draw 73%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score61%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

MillwallWest Ham United
1.3
Goals+0.5
1.8
12.1
Shots+0.2
11.9
3.1
On target+3.2
6.3
3.8
Corners+2.0
5.9
MillwallWest Ham United
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
5.6
Shots+0.3
5.3
1.5
On target+1.2
2.7
1.8
Corners+1.0
2.8
MillwallWest Ham United
0.9
Goals+0.4
1.3
6.5
Shots+0.1
6.6
1.6
On target+2.0
3.6
2.0
Corners+1.1
3.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
West Ham United to score84%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Millwall to score73%
Under 3.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Millwall
45%
to score before half-time
West Ham United
55%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

MillwallWest Ham United
5.61st-half shots5.3
1.51st-half shots on target2.7
1.81st-half corners2.8

First-half chances

60%Chance of 5+ shots56%
34%Chance of 7+ shots30%
41%Chance of 2+ shots on target71%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target29%
50%Chance of 2+ corners71%
14%Chance of 4+ corners30%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Millwall5.66.5
Shots · West Ham United5.36.6
Shots on target · Millwall1.51.6
Shots on target · West Ham United2.73.6
Corners · Millwall1.82.0
Corners · West Ham United2.83.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Millwall 0 · Draws 1 · West Ham United 1
West Ham United in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2012West Ham United 2–1 Millwall
Sept 2011Millwall 0–0 West Ham United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Millwall vs West Ham United?

Millwall and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Millwall had 19 shots (7 on target) to West Ham United's 15 (6), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Millwall vs West Ham United?

Millwall 2–2 West Ham United, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Millwall 27%, the draw 24% and West Ham United 48%.

What were the stats in Millwall vs West Ham United?

Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–1.4, Shots 19–15, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 15–8, Big chances 3–3, Corners 3–11, Saves 4–4, Fouls 17–18, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Millwall vs West Ham United?

Yes — both Millwall and West Ham United scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Millwall vs West Ham United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United or draw 73%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Millwall form →West Ham United form →