How it finished
Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Minnesota United FC had 15 shots (6 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 15 (6), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?
Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Minnesota United FC had 15 shots (6 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 15 (6), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?
Minnesota United FC 2–2 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Minnesota United FC 46%, the draw 26% and Houston Dynamo FC 28%.
What were the stats in Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.7, Shots 15–15, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 10–12, Big chances 1–3, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–4, Fouls 16–4, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?
Yes — both Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo FC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Minnesota United FC or draw 72%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.