How it finished
Como beat Napoli 2–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Napoli had 13 shots (2 on target) to Como's 21 (6), with 42% of the ball against 58%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.0, so Napoli created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Napoli vs Como?
Como beat Napoli 2–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Napoli had 13 shots (2 on target) to Como's 21 (6), with 42% of the ball against 58%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.0, so Napoli created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Napoli vs Como?
Napoli 1–2 Como, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Napoli 32%, the draw 29% and Como 40%.
What were the stats in Napoli vs Como?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.0, Shots 13–21, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 9–13, Big chances 1–0, Corners 2–7, Saves 4–1, Fouls 9–5, Offsides 9–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Napoli vs Como?
Yes — both Napoli and Como scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Napoli vs Como right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Como or draw 68%, it finished Como won (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 71%, it finished Landed.