How it finished
Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2–1. Bawler's model had Paris FC in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Paris FC had 17 shots (7 on target) to Strasbourg's 5 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2–1. Bawler's model had Paris FC in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Paris FC had 17 shots (7 on target) to Strasbourg's 5 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.2.
What was the final score in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Paris FC 41%, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 34%.
What were the stats in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.2, Shots 17–5, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–0, Saves 1–5, Fouls 17–12, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
Yes — both Paris FC and Strasbourg scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Paris FC vs Strasbourg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Paris FC or draw 66%, it finished Paris FC won (41% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.