How it finished
Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Philadelphia Union had 14 shots (5 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 11 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Philadelphia Union had 14 shots (5 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 11 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 60%, the draw 21% and Real Salt Lake 19%.
What were the stats in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.8, Shots 14–11, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 21–13, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Philadelphia Union to win 60%, it finished Philadelphia Union won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.