PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen prediction — Eredivisie · Fri 9 Oct · 19:00 UK

Eredivisie · Fri 9 Oct · 19:00 UK
PSV Eindhoven 68Draw 18Heerenveen 14
Our call before kickoff
68%
PSV Eindhoven to win
Landed
3.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
80%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
72%

How it finished

PSV Eindhoven beat Heerenveen 2–0. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; only 2 were scored. PSV Eindhoven had 15 shots (2 on target) to Heerenveen's 12 (5), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.6.

PSV EindhovenFull-time statsHeerenveen
55%Possession45%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.6
15Shots12
2Shots on target5
10Shots inside box9
2Big chances4
4Corners6
5Saves0
19Fouls10
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPSV Eindhoven to win 68%PSV Eindhoven won (68% called)
Total goals3.72
Both teams to score62%No
Second pickOver 3.5 goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

PSV EindhovenHeerenveen
2.6
Goals+1.5
1.1
17.6
Shots+5.3
12.3
8.5
On target+2.9
5.6
7.2
Corners+2.5
4.6
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen
0.7
Goals+0.3
0.4
8.1
Shots+2.6
5.5
3.9
On target+1.3
2.6
3.4
Corners+1.2
2.2
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen
1.9
Goals+1.1
0.8
9.5
Shots+2.7
6.9
4.7
On target+1.6
3.1
3.8
Corners+1.3
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
PSV Eindhoven to score92%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Heerenveen to score68%

First half — what we expected

PSV Eindhoven
69%
to score before half-time
Heerenveen
37%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%

PSV EindhovenHeerenveen
8.11st-half shots5.5
3.91st-half shots on target2.6
3.41st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

64%Chance of 7+ shots32%
42%Chance of 9+ shots15%
70%Chance of 3+ shots on target46%
35%Chance of 5+ shots on target14%
80%Chance of 2+ corners59%
42%Chance of 4+ corners20%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · PSV Eindhoven8.19.5
Shots · Heerenveen5.56.9
Shots on target · PSV Eindhoven3.94.7
Shots on target · Heerenveen2.63.1
Corners · PSV Eindhoven3.43.8
Corners · Heerenveen2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

PSV Eindhoven form (last 6)W W D W L W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5PSV Eindhoven 4 · Draws 0 · Heerenveen 1
Heerenveen in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026PSV Eindhoven 3–1 SC Heerenveen
Feb 2026PSV Eindhoven 4–1 SC Heerenveen
Dec 2025SC Heerenveen 0–2 PSV Eindhoven
Mar 2025PSV Eindhoven 2–1 SC Heerenveen
Dec 2024SC Heerenveen 1–0 PSV Eindhoven
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

PSV Eindhoven beat Heerenveen 2–0. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; only 2 were scored. PSV Eindhoven had 15 shots (2 on target) to Heerenveen's 12 (5), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.6.

What was the final score in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Heerenveen, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with PSV Eindhoven 68%, the draw 18% and Heerenveen 14%.

What were the stats in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.6, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 10–9, Big chances 2–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 5–0, Fouls 19–10, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

No. It finished 2–0, so Heerenveen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PSV Eindhoven to win 68%, it finished PSV Eindhoven won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →PSV Eindhoven form →Heerenveen form →