PSV Eindhoven beat Heerenveen 2–0. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; only 2 were scored. PSV Eindhoven had 15 shots (2 on target) to Heerenveen's 12 (5), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
PSV Eindhoven beat Heerenveen 2–0. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; only 2 were scored. PSV Eindhoven had 15 shots (2 on target) to Heerenveen's 12 (5), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.6.
PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Heerenveen, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with PSV Eindhoven 68%, the draw 18% and Heerenveen 14%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.6, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 10–9, Big chances 2–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 5–0, Fouls 19–10, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 2–0, so Heerenveen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PSV Eindhoven to win 68%, it finished PSV Eindhoven won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.