Real Betis beat Osasuna 5–2. Bawler's model had Real Betis in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 7. Real Betis had 20 shots (7 on target) to Osasuna's 11 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Real Betis beat Osasuna 5–2. Bawler's model had Real Betis in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 7. Real Betis had 20 shots (7 on target) to Osasuna's 11 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.5.
Real Betis 5–2 Osasuna, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Betis 53%, the draw 25% and Osasuna 22%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.5, Shots 20–11, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 3–2, Corners 8–4, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–5.
Yes — both Real Betis and Osasuna scored, finishing 5–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Betis or draw 78%, it finished Real Betis won (53% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 54%, it finished Landed.