How it finished
Real Salt Lake beat New England Revolution 3–0. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Salt Lake 37%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Real Salt Lake had 9 shots (6 on target) to New England Revolution's 16 (4), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Real Salt Lake beat New England Revolution 3–0. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Salt Lake 37%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Real Salt Lake had 9 shots (6 on target) to New England Revolution's 16 (4), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Real Salt Lake 3–0 New England Revolution, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 37%, the draw 25% and New England Revolution 38%.
What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.2, Shots 9–16, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 5–1, Corners 1–11, Saves 4–3, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
No. It finished 3–0, so New England Revolution failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New England Revolution or draw 63%, it finished Real Salt Lake won (37% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.