How it finished
Çorum FK beat Samsunspor 5–1. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Çorum FK 20%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Samsunspor had 18 shots (4 on target) to Çorum FK's 12 (7), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?
Çorum FK beat Samsunspor 5–1. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Çorum FK 20%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Samsunspor had 18 shots (4 on target) to Çorum FK's 12 (7), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?
Samsunspor 1–5 Çorum FK, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Samsunspor 56%, the draw 24% and Çorum FK 20%.
What were the stats in Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.5, Shots 18–12, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 3–4, Corners 8–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 12–18, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 0–3.
Did both teams score in Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?
Yes — both Samsunspor and Çorum FK scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Samsunspor or draw 80%, it finished Çorum FK won (20% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.