How it finished
SC Freiburg beat SC Paderborn 07 1–0. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. SC Paderborn 07 had 14 shots (3 on target) to SC Freiburg's 16 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg beat SC Paderborn 07 1–0. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. SC Paderborn 07 had 14 shots (3 on target) to SC Freiburg's 16 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.3.
What was the final score in SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SC Freiburg, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Paderborn 07 31%, the draw 25% and SC Freiburg 43%.
What were the stats in SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.3, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 7–9, Big chances 0–1, Corners 5–4, Saves 4–3, Fouls 16–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
No. It finished 0–1, so SC Paderborn 07 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SC Freiburg or draw 69%, it finished SC Freiburg won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.