How it finished
Sevilla beat Valencia 1–0. Bawler's model had Sevilla in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Sevilla had 13 shots (4 on target) to Valencia's 3 (0), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sevilla vs Valencia?
Sevilla beat Valencia 1–0. Bawler's model had Sevilla in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Sevilla had 13 shots (4 on target) to Valencia's 3 (0), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.1.
What was the final score in Sevilla vs Valencia?
Sevilla 1–0 Valencia, played on 11 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sevilla 37%, the draw 28% and Valencia 36%.
What were the stats in Sevilla vs Valencia?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.1, Shots 13–3, Shots on target 4–0, Shots inside box 8–1, Big chances 2–0, Corners 6–4, Saves 0–3, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Sevilla vs Valencia?
No. It finished 1–0, so Valencia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sevilla vs Valencia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sevilla or draw 64%, it finished Sevilla won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.