How it finished
Southampton beat Stoke City 3–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Southampton had 18 shots (5 on target) to Stoke City's 14 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Southampton vs Stoke City?
Southampton beat Stoke City 3–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Southampton had 18 shots (5 on target) to Stoke City's 14 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Southampton vs Stoke City?
Southampton 3–1 Stoke City, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Southampton 61%, the draw 23% and Stoke City 16%.
What were the stats in Southampton vs Stoke City?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.7, Shots 18–14, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 3–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–2, Fouls 10–21, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–5, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Southampton vs Stoke City?
Yes — both Southampton and Stoke City scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Southampton vs Stoke City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Southampton to win 61%, it finished Southampton won (61% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Southampton or draw 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.