How it finished
Heerenveen beat Sparta Rotterdam 4–0. Bawler's model favoured Sparta Rotterdam at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Heerenveen 36%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Sparta Rotterdam had 11 shots (0 on target) to Heerenveen's 23 (9), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?
Heerenveen beat Sparta Rotterdam 4–0. Bawler's model favoured Sparta Rotterdam at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Heerenveen 36%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Sparta Rotterdam had 11 shots (0 on target) to Heerenveen's 23 (9), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.8.
What was the final score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?
Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sparta Rotterdam 39%, the draw 25% and Heerenveen 36%.
What were the stats in Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.8, Shots 11–23, Shots on target 0–9, Shots inside box 7–14, Big chances 1–4, Corners 3–6, Saves 5–0, Fouls 11–9, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?
No. It finished 0–4, so Sparta Rotterdam failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sparta Rotterdam or draw 64%, it finished Heerenveen won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.