St Johnstone vs Hibernian prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sun 6 Sept · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sun 6 Sept · 15:00 UK
St Johnstone 27Draw 26Hibernian 47
Our call before kickoff
73%
Hibernian or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

St Johnstone beat Hibernian 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave St Johnstone 27%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. St Johnstone had 9 shots (4 on target) to Hibernian's 14 (3), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.7.

St JohnstoneFull-time statsHibernian
47%Possession53%
2.5Expected goals (xG)1.7
9Shots14
4Shots on target3
6Shots inside box10
4Big chances1
2Corners7
2Saves2
10Fouls13
1Offsides4
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHibernian or draw 73%St Johnstone won (27% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

St JohnstoneHibernian
1.2
Goals+0.4
1.6
15.2
Shots+1.5
13.7
4.2
On target+1.9
6.1
4.4
Corners+2.1
6.6
St JohnstoneHibernian
0.3
Goals+0.3
0.6
6.9
Shots+0.6
6.4
1.7
On target+1.1
2.8
2.1
Corners+1.0
3.1
St JohnstoneHibernian
0.9
Goals+0.1
1.0
8.2
Shots+0.9
7.3
2.5
On target+0.8
3.3
2.4
Corners+1.1
3.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Hibernian to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
St Johnstone to score70%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

St Johnstone
26%
to score before half-time
Hibernian
61%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

St JohnstoneHibernian
6.91st-half shots6.4
1.71st-half shots on target2.8
2.11st-half corners3.1

First-half chances

63%Chance of 6+ shots56%
39%Chance of 8+ shots32%
48%Chance of 2+ shots on target73%
12%Chance of 4+ shots on target32%
57%Chance of 2+ corners76%
18%Chance of 4+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · St Johnstone6.98.2
Shots · Hibernian6.47.3
Shots on target · St Johnstone1.72.5
Shots on target · Hibernian2.83.3
Corners · St Johnstone2.12.4
Corners · Hibernian3.13.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5St Johnstone 1 · Draws 1 · Hibernian 3
Hibernian in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2025Hibernian 3–0 St. Johnstone
Jan 2025St. Johnstone 1–1 Hibernian
Sept 2024Hibernian 2–0 St. Johnstone
Apr 2024St. Johnstone 1–3 Hibernian
Apr 2024Hibernian 1–2 St. Johnstone
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

St Johnstone beat Hibernian 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave St Johnstone 27%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. St Johnstone had 9 shots (4 on target) to Hibernian's 14 (3), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.7.

What was the final score in St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

St Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with St Johnstone 27%, the draw 26% and Hibernian 47%.

What were the stats in St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–1.7, Shots 9–14, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 6–10, Big chances 4–1, Corners 2–7, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

Yes — both St Johnstone and Hibernian scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for St Johnstone vs Hibernian right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hibernian or draw 73%, it finished St Johnstone won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →St Johnstone form →Hibernian form →